School of GeoSciences

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Recent papers and pre-prints

(Last partial update 13/07.16)

Curriculum Vitae

Publications list

1977

Crampin, S. & King, D.W. (1977) Evidence for anisotropy in the upper mantle beneath Eurasia from the polarization of higher mode surface waves, Geophys. J. R. Astron. Soc., 49, 59-85.

1978

Crampin, S. (1978) Seismic wave propagation through a cracked solid: polarization as a possible dilatancy diagnostic, Geophys. J. R. Astron. Soc., 53, 467-496.

1980

Crampin, S., Evans, R., Üçer, B., Doyle, M., Davis, J.P., Yegorkina, G.V. & Miller, A. (1980a) Observations of dilatancy-induced polarization anomalies and earthquake prediction, Nature, 286, 874-877.

Crampin, S., McGonigle, R. & Bamford, D. (1980b) Estimating crack parameters from observations of P-wave velocity anisotropy, Geophysics, 45, 345-360.

1981

Crampin, S. (1981) A review of wave motion in anisotropic and cracked elastic-media, Wave Motion, 3, 343-391.

Crampin, S. & Kirkwood, S.C., 1981. Velocity variations in systems of anisotropic symmetry, J. Geophys., 49, 35-42.

1985

Booth, D.C. & Crampin, S., 1985. Shear-wave polarizations on a curved wavefront at an isotropic free-surface, Geophys. J. R. Astron. Soc., 83, 31-45.

1987

Crampin, S. (1987). The basis for earthquake prediction, Geophys. J. R. Astron. Soc., 91, 331-347.

1991

Crampin, S. (1991). Comment and reply on "Seismic anisotropy due to preferred mineral orientations in shallow crustal rocks in southern Alaska", by T.M. Brocher & N.I. Christenen, Geology, 19, 859-860.

Wild, P. & Crampin, S., 1991. The range of effects of azimuthal isotropy and EDA-anisotropy in sedimentary basins, Geophys. J. Int., 107, 513-529.

1992

Brown, R.J., Crampin, S. & Gallant, E.V., 1992. Modelling shear-wave singularities in an orthorhombic medium, CREWES Res. Rep., 4, 19-1-19-14.

1993

Crampin, S. (1993) A review of the effects of crack geometry on wave propagation through aligned cracks, Can. J. Expl. Geophys., 29, 3-17. Currently available only online.

1994

Crampin, S. (1994) The fracture criticality of crustal rocks, Geophys. J. Int., 118, 428-438.

1996

Winterstein, D.L. (1996) Email to Stuart Crampin via anisotropists@sep.stanford.edu

Crampin, S. (1996) Emails to Don Winterstein via anisotropists@sep.stanford.edu

1997

Crampin, S. & Zatsepin, S. V. (1997a) Changes of strain before earthquakes: the possibility of routine monitoring ot both long-term and short-term precusors, J. Phys. Earth, 45, 1-26.

Zatsepin, S. V. & Crampin, S. (1997) Modelling the compliance of crustal rock: I - response of shear-wave splitting to differential stress, Geophys. J. Int., 129, 477-494.

Crampin, S. & Zatsepin, S. V. (1997b) Modelling the compliance of crustal rock: II - response to temporal changes before earthquakes, Geophys. J. Int., 129, 495-506.

1998

Crampin, S. (1998) Shear-wave splitting in a critical crust: the next step, Rev. Inst. Franc. Pet., 53, 749-763.

1999

Crampin, S. (1999a) Calculable fluid-rock interactions, J. Geol. Soc., 156, 501-514.

Crampin, S. (1999b) Stress-forecasting earthquakes, Seism. Res. Lett., 70, 291-293.

Crampin, S., Volti, T. & Stefansson, R. (1999) A successfully stress-forecast earthquake, Geophys. J. Int., 138, F1-F5.

2001

Crampin, S. (2001) Developing stress-monitoring sites using cross-hole seismology to stress-forecast the times and magnitudes of future earthquakes, Tectonophysics, 338, 233-245; with updated source-receiver geometry online.

Crampin, S. & Chastin, S. (2001) Shear-wave splitting in a critical crust: II - compliant, calculable, controllable fluid-rock interactions, in Anisotropy 2000: Fractures, converted waves, and case studies, Proc. 9th Int. Workshop on Seismic Anisotropy, Camp Allen, 2000, eds. Ikelle, L. T. & Gangi, T., SEG Open File Publication No. 6, 21-48.

2002

Angerer, E., Crampin, S., Li, X.-Y. & Davis, T.L. (2002) Processing, modelling, and predicting time-lapse effects of overpressured fluid-injection in a fractured reservoir, Geophys. J. Int., 149, 267-280.

Crampin, S., Volti, T., Chastin, S., Gudmundsson, A. & Stefansson, R. (2002) Indication of high pore-fluid pressures in a seismically-active fault zone, Geophys. J. Int., 151, F1-F5.

2003

Crampin, S. (2003a) The New Geophysics: shear-wave splitting provides a window into the crack-critical rock mass, The Leading Edge, 22, 536-549

Crampin, S. (2003b) Aligned cracks not LPO as the cause of mantle anisotropy, EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Ass., Nice, 2003, Geophys. Res. Abst., 5, 00205; with additional notes online.

Crampin, S. & Chastin, S. (2003) A review of shear-wave splitting in the crack-critical crust, Geophys. J. Int., 155, 221-240.

Crampin, S., Chastin, S. & Gao, Y. (2003a) Shear-wave splitting in a critical crust: III - preliminary report of multi-variable measurements in active tectonics, Spec. Issue, J. Appl. Geophys., 54, 265-277.

Crampin, S., Gao, Y., Chastin, S., Peacock, S. & Jackson, P. (2003b) Speculations on earthquake forecasting, Seism. Res. Lett., 74, 271-273.

Gao, Y. & Crampin, S. (2003) Temporal variation of shear-wave splitting in field and laboratory in China, Spec. Issue, J. Appl. Geophys., 54, 279-287.

Hudson, J.A. & Crampin (2003) Comment on ‘The 3D shear experiment over the Natih field in Oman: the effects of fracture-filling fluids on shear propagation’, by van der Kolk, C.M., Guest, W.S. & Potters, J.H.H.M., Geophys. Prosp., 51, 365-368.

Volti, T. & Crampin, S. (2003a) A four-year study of shear-wave splitting in Iceland: 1. Background and preliminary analysis, in New insights into structural interpretation and modelling, ed. Nieuwland, D. A., Geol. Soc. Lond., Spec. Publ., 212, 117-133.

Volti, T. & Crampin, S. (2003b) A four-year study of shear-wave splitting in Iceland: 2. Temporal changes before earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, in New insights into structural interpretation and modelling, ed. Nieuwland, D. A., Geol. Soc. Lond., Spec. Publ., 212, 135-149.

2004

Crampin, S. (2004a) Comment on "Local shear wave observations in João Câmara, northeast Brazil" by A. F. do Nascimento, R. G. Pearce, and M. K. Takeya, J. Geophys. Res., 109, B02313, doi: 10.1029/2003JB002681.

Crampin, S. (2004b) The New Geophysics: implications for hydrocarbon recovery and possible contamination of time-lapse seismics, First Break, 22, 73-82.

Crampin, S., Peacock, S., Gao, Y. & Chastin, S. (2004a) The scatter of time-delays in shear-wave splitting above small earthquakes, Geophys. J. Int., 156, 39-44.

Crampin, S., Volti, T. & Stefansson, R. (2004b) Response to "A statistical evaluation of a 'stress-forecast' earthquake" by T. Seher & I. G. Main, Geophys. J. Int., 157, 194-199.

Gao, Y. & Crampin, S. (2004) Observations of stress relaxation before earthquakes, Geophys. J. Int., 157, 578-582.

2005

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2005) Comment on "Systematic Analysis of Shear-Wave Splitting in the Aftershock Zone of the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan, Earthquake: Shallow Crustal Anisotropy and Lack of Precursory Changes," by Liu, Teng, and Ben-Zion: Temporal Variations Confirmed, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., 95, 354-360.

Crampin, S. & Peacock, S. (2005) A review of shear-wave splitting in the compliant crack-critical anisotropic Earth, Wave Motion, 41, 59-77.

Volti, Kaneda, Y., Zatsepin, S. & Crampin, S. (2005) An anomalous spatial pattern of shear-wave splitting observed in Ocean Bottom Seismic data above a subducting seamount in the Nanakai Trough, Geophys. J. Int., 163, 252-264.

2006

Crampin, S. (2006) The New Geophysics: a new understanding of fluid-rock deformation, in Eurock 2006: Multiphysics coupling and long term behaviour in rock mechanics, eds. Van Cotthem, A., Charlier, R., Thimus, J.-F. & Tshibangu, J.-P., Taylor & Francis, London, 539-544.

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2006) A review of techniques for measuring shear-wave splitting above small earthquakes, Phys. Earth. Planet. Inter., 159, 1-14.

Crampin, S., Gao, Y., Zatsepin, S., Browitt, C., Keilis-Borok, V., Suyehiro, K. & Walter, L., 2006. GEMS: the opportunity for a global earthquake stress-monitoring system for forecasting all damaging earthquakes worldwide. 11IWSA Abstracts, Geophysics, 71, 24JF-25JF.

Gao, Y. & Crampin, S. (2006) A further stress-forecast earthquake (with hindsight), where migration of source earthquakes causes anomalies in shear-wave polarisations, Tectonophysics, 426, 253-262.

Gao , Y., Hao, P. & Crampin, S. (2006) SWAS: a shear-wave snalysis system for semi-automatic measurement of shear-wave splitting above small earthquakes, Phys. Earth. Planet. Inter., 159, 71-89.

Padhy, S. & Crampin, S. (2006) High pore-fluid pressures at Bhuj, inferred from 90º-flips in shear-wave polarisations, suggest that the Kutch Mainland Fault is a major tectonic feature, Geophys. J. Int., 164, 370-376.

Wu, J., Crampin, S., Gao, Y., Hao, P. & Chen, Y.-T. (2006) Smaller source earthquakes and improved measuring techniques allow the largest earthquakes in Iceland to be stress-forecast (with hindsight), Geophys. J. Int., 166, 1293-1298.

2007

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2007) The New Geophysics and the future of International Workshops on Seismic Anisotropy, J. Seism. Explor., 16, 373-382.

2008

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2008a) A review of the New Geophysics: a new understanding of pre-fracturing deformation in the crack-critical crust with implications for hydrocarbon production, Petrol. Sci., 5, 1-12.

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2008b) A review of a quarter century of International Workshops on Seismic Anisotropy on anisotropy in the Earth's crust (0IWSA - 12IWSA), J. Seism., 13, 181-208.

Crampin, S. & Peacock, S. (2008) A review of the current understanding of shear-wave splitting in the crust and common fallacies in interpretation, Wave Motion, 45, 675-722.

Crampin, S., Gao, Y. & Peacock, S. (2008) Stress-forecasting not predicting earthquakes: A paradigm shift? Geology, 36, 427-430. Supplementary information.

Gao, Y. & Crampin, S. (2008) Shear-wave splitting and earthquake forecasting, Terra Nova, 20, 440-448, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-3121.2008.00836.x.

Hao, P., Gao, Y. & Crampin, S. (2008) An Expert System for measuring shear-wave splitting above small earthquakes, Comp. Geosci., 34, 226-234.

2009

Crampin, S. (2009a) A New Geophysics, provides the opportunity for stress-forecasting earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, Disaster Advances, 2, Editorial, 3-4.

Crampin, S. (2009b) Comment on 'Global anisotropic phase velocity maps for higher mode Love and Rayleigh waves' by Visser, Tampert & Kennett, Geophys. J. Int., 177, 93-98.

Crampin, S. & Clarkson, E.M.K., (2009) The New Geology: a new understanding of fluid-rock deformation, Edin. Aniso. Proj., Research Rep., 16, D4-1-D4-28.

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2009) A review of a quarter of a century of International Workshops on Seismic Anisotropy in the crust (0IWSA-12IWSA), J. Seism., 13, 181-208.

Liner, C. (2009) A column on the history and culture of Geophyics and Science in general, Leading Edge, 28, 418-419.

2010

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2010a) Earthquakes can be stress-forecast, Geophys. J. Int., 180, 1124-1127.

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2010b) A review of a new understanding of fluid-rock deformation in the crack-critical crust, Rock Stress and Earthquakes, CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group, London, 235-240.

Crampin, S., Zatsepin, S.V., Browitt, C.W.A., Suyehiro, K., Gao, Y. & Walter, L. (2010) GEMS: the opportunity for forecasting all damaging earthquakes worldwide, Edin. Aniso. Proj., Research Rep., 17, D4-1-D4-11.

2011

Crampin, S. (2011a) A Second Opinion on "Operational earthquake forecasting: Some thoughts on how and why," by Thomas Jordan and Lucille Jones, Seism. Res. Lett, 82, 227-230.

(Jordan, T.H. & Jones, L.M. (2011) Reply to ‘A Second Opinion on "Operational Earthquake Forecasting: Some Thoughts on Why and How," by Thomas H. Jordan and Lucile M. Jones,’ by Stuart Crampin. Seism. Res. Lett, 82, 231-232.)

Crampin, S. (2011b) Shear-wave splitting, the New Geophysics, and earthquake stress-forecasting, in Encycl. Solid Earth Geophys., ed. Gupta, H., Springer, Heidelberg, 2, 1355-1362.

2012

Crampin, S. (2012a). Comment on the report Operational Earthquake Forecasting by the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting for Civil Protection (ICEF), Ann. Geophys., 55, 1, 2012; doi: 10.4401/ag-5516

Crampin, S. (2012b). Misunderstandings in Comments and Replies about the ICEF Report, unpublished because relevant journals will not accept Replies to Replies.

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2012) Plate-wide deformation before the Sumatra-Andaman Earthquake, J. Asian Earth Sci., 46, 61-69, doi:10.1016/j.jseaes.2011.10.015.

Jordan et al., (2012). Reply to "Comment on 'Operational Earthquake Forecasting: Status of Knowledge and Guidelines for Implementation by Jordan et al. [2011]' by Stuart Crampin", Ann. Geophys., 55, 13-15.

2013

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2013). The New Geophysics, Terra Nova, 25, 173-180, doi:10.1111/ter.12030. Supporting Information.

Crampin, S., Gao, Y. & De Santis, A. (2013). A few earthquake conundra resolved, J. Asian Earth Sci., 62, 501-509, doi:10.1016/j.jseaes.1012.10.036.

2014

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2014a). New Geophysics: the opportunity to stress-forecast earthquakes and volcanic eruptions in North Iceland, in Earthquakes in North Iceland: Proceedings of a workshop in Hüsavík, North Iceland 6 – 8 June 2013, eds. Jóhannesdóttir, G.B., Stefánsson, R., Einarsson, P. & Jónsson, Şekkingarnet, Şingeyinga, Hüsavík Academic Center, Iceland, 100-105.

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2014b). STOP PRESS: Retraction of stress-forecast in Crampin & Gao (2014a), in Earthquakes in North Iceland: Proceedings of a workshop in Hüsavík, North Iceland 6 – 8 June 2013, eds. Jóhannesdóttir, G.B., Stefánsson, R., Einarsson, P. & Jónsson, Şekkingarnet, Şingeyinga, Hüsavík Academic Center, Iceland, 106. See online note.

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2014c). Two species of microcrack, App. Geophys., 11, 1-8, doi:10.1007/S1170-014-0415-7.

Liu, S., Crampin, S., Luckett, R. & Yang, J. (2014) Changes in shear-wave splitting before the 2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption in Iceland, Geophys. J. Int., 199, 102-112, doi:10.109/gji/ggu202. Supporting Information.

2015

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2015) The physics underlying Gutenberg-Richter in the Earth and in the Moon, J. Earth Sci., 26, 134-139, doi:10.1007/s12583-015-0523-3.

Crampin, S., Gao, Y. & Bukits, J. (2015) A review of retrospective stress-forecasts of earthquakes and eruptions, Phys. Earth. Planet. Inter., 245, 76-87.

2016

IN PRESS

... FOLLOWING PAPERS ARE NOT YET AVAILABLE ON LINE ...

SUBMITTED

Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2016). Evidence supporting New Geophysics, J. Geodyn., submitted (08/02.16)

IN PREPARATION

Hong, Q., Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2016a). Changes in shear-wave splitting before the 2014 Bárğarbunga seismic crisis and dyke intrusion in Iceland: compared with earthquakes and other eruptions, Tectonophysics, in preparation.

Hong, Q., Crampin, S. & Gao, Y. (2016b). Modelling the effects of irregular surface topography on the polarizations of shear-waves and shear-wave splitting. Geophys. J. Int., in preparation.