Ian Main FRSE
Professor, Seismology & Rock Physics

Refereed research papers

N.B. - for articles published in American Geophysical Union Journals copyright resides with the American Geophysical Union. Further reproduction or electronic distribution of .pdf files is not permitted.

Citations by Google Scholar

1. Main, I.G. & P.W. Burton (1981). Rates of crustal deformation inferred from seismic moment and Gumbel's third distribution of extreme values, in Beavers, J.E. (ed.), Earthquakes and Earthquake Engineering - The Eastern United States Vol. 2, Ann Arbor Science, Michigan, 937-951.
2. Burton, P.W., I.G. Main & R.E. Long (1983). Perceptible earthquakes in the Central and Eastern US (examined using Gumbel's third distribution of extreme values), Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 73, 497-518.
3. Burton, P.W., I.G. Main & G. Nielson (1983). Seismic risk and the North Sea, in Ritsema, A.R. & A. Gurpinar (eds.), Seismicity and seismic risk in the offshore North Sea Area, D. Reidel, Holland, 347-364.
4. Main, I.G. & P.W. Burton (1984a). Physical links between crustal deformation, seismic moment and seismic hazard for regions of varying seismicity, Geophys. J. R. Astron. Soc. 79, 469-489.
5. Main, I.G. & P.W. Burton (1984b). Information theory and the earthquake frequency-magnitude distribution, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 74, 1409-1426.
6. Main, I.G. & P.W. Burton (1986). Long-term earthquake recurrence constrained by tectonic seismic moment release rates, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 76, 297-304.
7. Main, I.G. (1987). A characteristic earthquake model of the seismicity preceding the eruption of Mount St. Helens, Phys. Earth Planet. Int. 49, 283-293.
8. Main, I. (1988). Prediction of failure times in the earth for a time-varying stress, Geophys. J. 92, 455-464.
9. Main, I.G., P.G. Meredith & C. Jones (1989). A reinterpretation of the precursory seismic b-value anomaly from fracture mechanics, Geophys. J. 96, 131-138.
10. Main I.G. & P.W. Burton (1989). Seismotectonics and the earthquake frequency magnitude distribution in the Aegean area, Geophys. J. 98, 575-586.
11. Main, I.G. & P.G. Meredith (1989). Classification of earthquake precursors from a fracture mechanics model, Tectonophysics 167, 273-283.
12. Main, I.G., S. Peacock & P.G. Meredith (1990). Scattering attenuation and the fractal geometry of fracture systems, Pure App. Geophys. 133, 283-304.
13. Meredith, P.G., I.G. Main & C. Jones (1990). Temporal variations in seismicity during quasi-static and dynamic rock failure, Tectonophysics 175, 249-268.
14. Main, I.G. (1990). Quasi-static modelling of stress histories during the earthquake cycle, Geophys. J. Int. 102, 195-204.
15. Ligdas, C.N., I.G. Main & R.D. Adams (1990). Three-dimensional structure of the lithosphere in the Aegean region, Geophys. J. Int. 102, 219-230.
16. Main, I.G. & P.W. Burton (1990). Moment-magnitude scaling in the Aegean area, Tectonophysics 179, 273-285.
17. Main, I.G., P.G. Meredith, P.R. Sammonds & C. Jones (1990). Influence of fractal flaw distributions on rock deformation in the brittle field, in Knipe, R.J. & E.H. Rutter (eds.) Deformation Mechanisms, Rheology and Tectonics, Geol. Soc. London Special Publication No 54, 81-96.
18. Ligdas, C.N. & I.G. Main (1991). On the resolving power of tomographic images in the Aegean area, Geophys. J. Int. 107, 197-204.
19. Ligdas, C.N. & I.G. Main (1991). Some geodynamic implications from the inversion of P-wave travel-time residuals in the Aegean region, Bull. Geol. Soc. Greece XXV/3, 217-224.
20. Main, I.G. (1991). A modified Griffith criterion for the evolution of damage with a fractal distribution of crack lengths: Application to seismic event rates and b-values, Geophys. J. Int. 107, 353-362.
21. Main, I.G. & P.G. Meredith (1991). Stress corrosion constitutive laws as a possible mechanism of intermediate-term and short-term seismic quiescence, Geophys. J. Int. 107, 363-372.
22. Norman, M.G., J.R. Henderson, I.G. Main & D.J. Wallace (1991). The use of the CAPE environment in the simulation of rock fracturing, Concurrency: Practice & Experience 3, 687-698.
23. Liakopoulou, F., R.G. Pearce & I.G. Main (1991). Source mechanisms of recent earthquakes in the Hellenic arc from broadband data, Tectonophysics 200, 233-248 [and erratum 219, 356-357].
24. Main, I.G. (1992). Earthquake scaling, Nature 357, 27-28.PDF
25. Ligdas, C., I.G. Main & R.D. Adams (1992). 3-D velocity structure and constraints on the nature of the coupled subduction-spreading process in the Aegean area, Tectonophysics 201, 199-208.
26. Henderson, J. & I. Main (1992). A simple fracture-mechanical model for the evolution of seismicity, Geophys. Res. Lett. 19, 365-368.
27. Elphick, S.C., G.B. Shimmield, B.T. Ngwenya, I.G. Main, B.G.D. Smart & B.R. Crawford (1992). The effects of combined changes in pore fluid chemistry and stress state on reservoir permeability: Design and recirculating flow rig, in Kharaka, Y.K. & A.S. Maest (eds.), Water-Rock Interaction, A.A. Balkema, Rotterdam, 1113-1116.
28. Sammonds, P.R., P.G. Meredith & I.G. Main (1992). Role of pore fluids in the generation of seismic precursors to shear fracture, Nature 359, 228-230.LINK
29. Main, I.G., P.G. Meredith & P.R. Sammonds (1992). Temporal variations in seismic event rate and b-values from stress corrosion constitutive laws, Tectonophysics 211, 233-246.
30. Henderson, J., I.G. Main, P.G. Meredith & P.R. Sammonds (1992). The evolution of seismicity: observation, experiment and a fracture-mechanical interpretation, J. Struct. Geol. 14, 905-914.
31. Main, I.G. (1992). Damage mechanics with long-range interactions: correlation between the seismic b-value and the two point correlation dimension, Geophys. J. Int. 111, 531-541. PDF
32. Main, I.G., J.R. Henderson, B.G.D. Smart & B. Crawford (1993). Deformation and fluid flow in the brittle field, in Parnell, J., A.H. Ruffell & N.R. Moles (eds.), Geofluids '93, 151-154.
33. Main, I.G. (1993). The new physics and earthquake prediction, in Merriman, P.A. & C.W.A. Browitt (eds.), Natural Disasters - Protecting Vulnerable Communities, Telford, London, 238-251.
34. Main, I.G., P.R. Sammonds & P.G. Meredith (1993). Application of a modified Griffith criterion to the evolution of fractal damage during compressional rock failure, Geophys. J. Int. 115, 367-380.
35. Hatton, C.G., I.G. Main & P.G. Meredith (1993). A comparison of seismic and structural measurements of fractal dimension during tensile subcritical crack growth, J. Struct. Geol. 15, 1485-1495.
36. Main, I.G., B.G.D. Smart, G.B. Shimmield, S.C. Elphick, B.R. Crawford & B.T. Ngwenya (1994). The effects of combined changes in pore-fluid chemistry and stress state on permeability in reservoir rocks: preliminary results from analogue materials, in Aasen, O. (ed.) North Sea Oil and Gas Reservoirs III, Kluwer, Dordrecht, 357-370.
37. Henderson, J., I.G. Main, R. Pearce & M. Takaya (1994). Seismicity in north-eastern Brazil: Fractal clustering and the evolution of the b-value, Geophys. J. Int. 116, 217-226.
38. Hatton, C.G., I.G. Main & P.G. Meredith (1994). Non-universal scaling of fracture length and opening displacement, Nature 367, 160-162. LINK
39. Main, I.G., J.R. Henderson, P.G. Meredith & P.R. Sammonds (1994). Self-organised criticality and fluid-rock interactions in the brittle field, Pure Appl. Geophys. 142, 529-543.
40. Henderson, J.R., I.G. Main, C. MacLean & M.G. Norman (1994). A fracture-mechanical cellular-automaton model of seismicity, Pure Appl. Geophys. 142, 545-565.
41. Sammonds, P.R., P.G. Meredith, S.F. Murrell & I.G. Main (1994). Modelling the damage evolution in rock containing pore fluid by acoustic emission, Eurock 94: Rock Mechanics in Petroleum Engineering, Balkema, Rotterdam, 897-904.
42. Liakopoulou-Morris, F., I.G. Main, B.R. Crawford & B.G.D. Smart (1994). Microseismic properties of a homogeneous sandstone during fault nucleation and frictional sliding, Geophys. J. Int. 119, 219-230.
43. Crawford, B.R., B.G.D. Smart, I.G. Main & S. Dolan (1994). The micromechanics of deformation under true 3-D stress anisotropy from permeability and microseismic experimentation, Transactions, 16th European Formation Evaluation Symposium, Aberdeen.
44. Main, I.G., P.G. Meredith, J.R. Henderson & P.R. Sammonds (1994). Positive and negative feedback in the earthquake cycle: the role of pore fluids on states of criticality in the crust, Annali di Geofisica 37, 207-225.
45. Sammonds, P.R., P.G. Meredith, J. Gomez & I.G. Main (1995). The interaction between pore fluid pressure changes and crack damage evolution in rocks and subsurface rock structures modelled from acoustic emission data, Journal of Acoustic Emission 13, S21-S28.
46. Abercrombie, R.E., I.G. Main, A. Douglas & P.W. Burton (1995). The nucleation and rupture processes of the 1981Gulf of Corinth earthquakes from deconvolved broadband data, Geophys. J. Int. 120, 393-405.
47. Liakopoulou-Morris, F., I.G. Main & R.G. Pearce (1995). Source parameters of earthquakes in the Aleutian Islands subduction zone, Geophys. J. Int. 120, 419-432.
48. Sharrock, D.S., I.G. Main & A. Douglas (1995). Observations of Q from the northwest Pacific subduction zone recorded at teleseismic distances, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 85, 237-253.
49. Crawford, B.R., B.G.D. Smart, I.G. Main & F. Liakopoulou-Morris (1995). Strength characteristics and shear acoustic anisotropy of rock core subjected to true triaxial compression, Int. J. Rock Mech. Min. Sci. 32, 189-200. PDF
50. Sharrock, D.S., I.G. Main & A. Douglas (1995). A two-layer attenuation model for the upper mantle at short periods, Geophys. Res. Lett. 22, 2561-2564. PDF
51. Öncel, A.O., Ö. Alptekin & I.G. Main (1995). Temporal variations in the fractal properties of seismicity in the western part of the north Anatolian fault zone: possible artefacts due to improvements in station coverage, J. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 2, 147-157.
52. Öncel, A.O., I.G. Main, Ö. Alptekin & P.A. Cowie (1995). Temporal variations in the fractal properties of seismicity in the northern Anatolian fault zone, Pure App. Geophys. 146, 1-13.
53. Öncel, A.O., Yüksel, F.A., Alptekin, Ö., Main, I., & Khalili, A., (1995). A preliminary fractal analysis of faulting in the Zagros thrust belt, in Proc., Second International Conference on Seismology and Earthquake Engineering, Tehran, 149-156.
54. Main, I.G. (1995). Earthquakes as critical phenomena: Implications for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am. 85, 1299-1308.
55. Main, I.G. (1995). Seismogenesis and seismic hazard, in Ranalli, G. (ed), Plate tectonics: the first 25 years, University of Siena Press, 395-419.
56. Öncel, A., I. Main, Ö. Alptekin & P. Cowie (1995). Temporal variations in the fractal properties of seismicity in the northern Anatolian fault zone between 31 degrees E and 41 degrees E, Pure Appl. Geophys. 147, 147-159.
57. Maillot, B. & I.G. Main (1996). A lattice BGK model for the diffusion of pore pressure, including anisotropy, heterogeneity and gravity effects, Geophys. Res. Lett. 23, 13-16. PDF
58. Wilson, S.A., J.R. Henderson & I.G. Main (1996). A cellular automaton fracture model: The influence of heterogeneity in the failure process, J. Struct. Geol. 18, 343-347. PDF
59. Main, I., B. Ngwenya, S. Elphick, B. Smart, B. Crawford, & C. Poux (1996). Scale limits on fluid pressure diffusion during rapid self-sealing deformation and fluid flow, In Aubertin, M., F. Hassani & H. Mitri (eds.), Rock Mechanics, Vol. 2, Balkema, Rotterdam, 1161-1168.
60. Öncel, A.O., I.G. Main, Ö. Alptekin & P.A. Cowie (1996). Spatial variation of the fractal properties of seismicity in the Anatolian fault zones, Tectonophysics 257, 189-202. PDF
61. Liu, Y., S. Crampin & I. Main (1997). Shear-wave anisotropy: spatial and temporal variations in time delays at Parkfield, Central California, Geophys. J. Int. 130, 771-785.
62. Main, I.G., D. Irving, R. Musson & A. Reading (1999). Constraints on the frequency-magnitude relation and maximum magnitudes in the UK from observed seismicity and glacio-isostatic recovery rates, Geophys. J. Int. 137, 535-550. PDF
63. Main, I.G., T. Leonard, O. Papasouliotis, C.G. Hatton & P.G. Meredith (1999). One slope or two? Detecting statistically-significant breaks of slope in geophysical data, with application to fracture scaling relationships, Geophys. Res. Lett. 26, 2801-2804. PDF
64. Palumbo, P., I.G. Main & G. Zito (1999). Thermal evolution of sedimentary basins and its effect on the maturation of hydrocarbons, Geophys. J. Int. 139, 248-260. PDF
65. Maillot, B., S. Nielsen & I. Main (1999). Numerical simulation of seismicity due to fluid injection in a brittle poro-elastic medium, Geophys. J. Int. 139, 263-272. PDF
66. Main, I.G. (1999). Applicability of time-to-failure analysis to accelerated strain before earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, Geophys. J. Int. 139, F1-F6. PDF
67. Mair, K., I.G. Main & S.C. Elphick (2000). Sequential development of deformation bands in the laboratory, J. Struct. Geol. 22, 25-42. PDF
68. Main, I.G. (2000). Apparent breaks in scaling in the earthquake frequency-magnitude distribution: fact or artifact?, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 90, 86-97. PDF
69. Main, I., G. O'Brien & J. Henderson (2000). Statistical physics of earthquakes: Comparison of distribution exponents for source area and potential energy and the dynamic emergence of log-periodic quanta, J. Geophys. Res. 105, 6105-6126. PDF
70. Main, I.G. (2000). A damage mechanics model for power-law creep and earthquake aftershock and foreshock sequences, Geophys. J. Int. 142, 151-161. PDF
71. Main, I.G., O. Kwon, B.T. Ngwenya & S.C. Elphick (2000). Fault sealing during deformation band growth in porous sandstone, Geology 28, 1131-1134. PDF
72. Ngwenya, B.T., S.C. Elphick, I.G. Main & G.B. Shimmield (2000). Experimental constraints on the diagenetic self-sealing capacity of faults in high porosity rocks, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 183 187-199. PDF
73. Leonard, T., O. Papasouliotis & I.G. Main (2001). A Poisson model for identifying characteristic size effects in frequency data: application to frequency-size distributions for global earthquakes, 'starquakes' and fault lengths, J. Geophys. Res. 106, 13473-13474. PDF
74. Baraka-Lokmane, S., G. Teutsch & I.G. Main (2001). Influence of open and sealed fractures on fluid flow and water saturation in sandstone cores, Geophys. J. Int. 147, 263-271. PDF
75. Ngwenya, B.T., I.G. Main, S.C. Elphick, B.R. Crawford & B.G.D. Smart (2001). A constitutive law for low-temperature creep of water- saturated sandstones, J. Geophys. Res. 106, 21811-21826. PDF
76. Main, I.G. & F.H. Al-Kindy (2002). Entropy, energy and proximity to criticality in global earthquake populations, Geophys. Res. Lett. 29, 10.1029/2001 GL014078. PDF [See also reply to a comment on this paper PDF]
77. Mair, K., S. Elphick & I. Main (2002). Influence of confining pressure on the mechanical and structural evolution of deformation bands, Geophys. Res. Lett. 29, 10.1029/2001GL013964. PDF
78. Colombo, S., I.G. Main, M.C. Forde & J. Halliday (2002). Acoustic emission on bridges: experiments on concrete beams, in Mazal, P. (ed.) Proceedings of the 25th European Conference on Acoustic Emission Testing EWGAE2002, Prague, Vol. 1, 127-134.
79. Koravos, G.C., I.G. Main, T.M. Tsapanos & R.M.W. Musson (2003). Maximum earthquake magnitudes in the Aegean area constrained by tectonic moment release rates, Geophys. J. Int., 152, 94-112. PDF
80. Vlastos, S., E. Liu, I.G. Main & X.-Y. Li (2003). Numerical simulation of wave propagation in media with discrete distributions of fracture sizes: effects of fracture sizes and spatial distributions, Geophys. J. Int., 152, 649-668. PDF
81. Grueschow, B., O. Kwon, I.G. Main & J.W. Rudnicki (2003). Observation and modelling of the suction pump effect during rapid dilatant slip, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30(5), 1226, doi:10.1029/2002GL015905. PDF
82. Chastin, S.F.M. & I.G. Main (2003). Statistical analysis of daily seismic event rate as a precursor to volcanic eruptions, Geophys. Res. Lett. 30(13), 1671, doi:10.1029/2003GL016900. PDF
83. Ojala, I., B.T. Ngwenya, I.G. Main & S.C. Elphick (2003). Correlation of microseismic and chemical properties of brittle deformation in Locharbriggs sandstone, J. Geophys. Res. 108 (B5), 2268, doi:10.1029/2002JB002277. PDF
84. Ngwenya, B.T., O. Kwon, S.C. Elphick & I.G. Main (2003). Permeability evolution during progressive development of deformation bands in porous sandstones, J. Geophys. Res. 108, (B7), 2343, doi:10.1029/2002JB001854. PDF
85. Huc, M. & I.G. Main (2003). Anomalous stress diffusion in earthquake triggering: correlation length, time dependence, and directionality, J. Geophys. Res. 108, (B7), 2324, doi:10.1029/2001JB001645. PDF
86. Colombo, S., M.C. Forde, I.G. Main, & J. Halliday (2003) AE monitoring of concrete bridge beams in-situ, The Structural Engineer, 81, 41-46.PDF
87. Colombo, I.S., I.G. Main & M.C. Forde (2003). Assessing damage of a reinforced concrete beam using 'b-value' analysis of acoustic emission signals, J. Materials in Civil Engineering. 15 (3), 280-286. PDF
88. Koravos, C.G., I.G. Main, T.M. Tsapanos, & R.M.W. Musson (2003). Perceptible earthquakes in the broad Aegean area, Tectonophysics 371, 175-186. PDF
89. Al-Kindy, F. & I.G. Main (2003). Testing self-organized criticality in the crust using entropy: a regional study of global earthquake populations, J. Geophys. Res. 108, 2521, doi:10.1029/2002JB002230. PDF
90. Ojala, I., B.T. Ngwenya & I.G. Main (2004). Loading rate dependence of permeability evolution in porous aeolian sandstones, J. Geophys. Res. 109, B01204, doi:10.1029/2002JB002347. PDF
91. Seher, T. & I.G. Main (2004). A statistical evaluation of a 'stress-forecast' earthquake, Geophys. J. Int., 157, 187-193. PDF
92. Song, I., S.C. Elphick, N. Odling, I.G. Main & B.T. Ngwenya (2004). Hydromechanical behaviour of fine-grained calcilutite and fault gouge from the Aigion Fault Zone, Greece, Comptes Rendus Geoscience 336, 445-454. PDF
93. Song, I., S.C. Elphick, I.G. Main, B.T. Ngwenya, N.W. Odling, & N.F. Smyth (2004). One-dimensional fluid diffusion induced by constant-rate flow injection: theoretical analysis and application to the determination of fluid permeability and specific storage of a cored rock sample, J. Geophys. Res.109, B05207, doi:10.1029/2002JB002395. PDF
94. Bruderer-Weng, C., P. Cowie, Y. Bernabe & I. Main (2004). Relating flow channelling to tracer dispersion in heterogeneous networks, Advances in Water Resources 27, 843-855. PDF
95. Liu, E., S. Vlastos, I. G. Main & M. Schoenberg (2004). Modeling seismic wave propagation during fluid injection in a fracture network: Effects of pore pressure on time-lapse seismic signatures, The Leading Edge, 23, 778-783. PDF
96. Ojala I O., I. G. Main & B. T. Ngwenya (2004). Strain rate and temperature dependence of Omori law scaling constants of AE data: implications for earthquake foreshock-aftershock sequences. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L24617, doi: 10.1029/2004GL020781. PDF
97. Colombo, S., I.G. Main, M. Shigeishi & M. C. Forde (2004). NDT integrity and load carrying assessment of concrete bridges, in proc., 2nd International Conference of the International Association for Bridge Maintenance & Safety, Kyoto, ISBN 90 5809 680 7. PDF
98. McKernon, C. & I.G. Main (2005). Regional variations in the diffusion of triggered seismicity, J. Geophys. Res., 110, B05S05, doi:10.1029/2004JB003387. PDF
99. Kwon, O., B.T. Ngwenya, I.G. Main & S.C. Elphick (2005). Permeability evolution during deformation of siliclastic sandstones from Moab, in Utah, in Sorkhabi, R. & Y. Tsuji (eds.), American Association of Petroleum Geologists Memoir 85, Faults, Fluid Flow, and Petroleum Traps, 219-236. PDF
100. Colombo, S., M.C. Forde, I.G. Main, M. Shigeishi (2005). Predicting the ultimate bending capacity of concrete beams from the ''relaxation ratio'' analysis of AE signals, Construction and Building Materials, 19, 746-754. PDF
101. Colombo, S., M.C. Forde, I.G. Main, J. Halliday & M. Shigeishi (2005) AE energy analysis on concrete bridge beams, Materials and Structures, 38: 283, 851 - 856.PDF
102. Kay, M.A., I. G. Main, S. C. Elphick & B. T. Ngwenya (2006). Fault-gouge diagenesis at shallow burial depth: solution-precipitation reactions in well-sorted and poorly-sorted powders of crushed sandstone, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 243, 607-614. PDF
103. Vlastos, S., E. Liu, I. G. Main, M. Schoenberg, C. Narteau, X.-Y. Li & B. Maillot (2006). Dual simulations of fluid flow and seismic wave propagation in a fractured network: effects of pore pressure on seismic signature, Geophys. J. Int. 166, 825-838. PDF
104. Main, I.G., L. Li, K.J. Heffer, O. Papasouliotis & T. Leonard (2006). Long-range, critical-point dynamics in oilfield flow rate data, Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L18308, doi:10.1029/2006GL027357. PDF
105. Heffer, K., X. Zhang, N. Koutsabeloulis, I. Main and L. Li (2007). Identification of activated (therefore potentially conductive) faults and fractures through statistical correlations in production and injection rates and coupled flow-geomechanical modelling, Society of Petroleum Engineers, paper no. 107164, 9pp. PDF
106. Odling, N.W.A, S.C. Elphick, P. Meredith, I. Main & B.T. Ngwenya (2007). Laboratory measurements of hydrodynamic saline dispersion within a micro-fracture network induced in a granite, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 260, 407-418. PDF
107. Vlastos, S., E.Liu, I. G. Main & C. Narteau (2007). Numerical simulation of wave propagation in 2-D fractured media: scattering attenuation at different stages of the growth of a fracture population, Geophys. J. Int. 171, 865-880. PDF
108. Main, I.G., L. Li, K. Heffer, O. Papasouliotis, T. Leonard, N. Koutsebaloulis & X. Zhang (2007). The statistical reservoir model: Calibrating faults and fractures, and predicting reservoir response to water flood, in Jolley, S., Barr, D., Walsh, J.J. & Knipe, R.J. (eds.), Structurally Complex Reservoirs, Geol. Soc. London special publications, 292, 469-482.PDF
109. Zhang, X., N. Koutsebaloulis, K. Heffer, I. Main and L. Li (2007). Coupled geomechanics-flow modelling at and below a critical stress state used to investigate common statistical properties of field production data, in Jolley, S., Barr, D., Walsh, J.J. & Knipe, R.J. (eds.), Structurally Complex Reservoirs, Geol. Soc. London special publications, 292, 453-468.PDF
110. Main, I.G., L. Li, J. McCloskey & M. Naylor (2008). Effect of the Sumatran mega-earthquake on the global magnitude cut-off and event rate, Nature Geoscience 1, p142 LINK
111. Naylor, M. & I.G. Main (2008). Cell scale self-organisation in the OFC model for earthquake dynamics: Re-rupturing, memory loss and quantisation of strain, Eur. Phys. J. B 64, 139-146 LINK
112. Main, I.G & M. Naylor (2008). Maximum entropy production and earthquake dynamics, Geophys. Res.Lett. 35, L19311, doi:10.1029/2008GL035590, LINK, ELECTRONIC REPRINT
113. Greenhough, J. & I.G. Main (2008). A Poisson model for earthquake frequency uncertainties in seismic hazard analysis, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L19313, doi:10.1029/2008GL035353 LINK
114. Baraka-Lokmane, S., I.G. Main, B.T. Ngwenya & S.C. Elphick (2009). Application of complementary methods for more robust characterization of sandstone cores, Marine and Petroleum Geology 26, 39-56. PDF
115. Naylor, M., I.G. Main & S.Touati (2009). Quantifying uncertainty on mean earthquake inter-event times for a finite sample, J. Geophys. Res., 114, B01316, doi:10.1029/2008JB005870.LINK
116. Baraka-Lokmane,S., I. G. Main, B. T. Ngwenya, S. C. Elphick, C. Jones, and S. A. Hamilton (2009). Correlation between microstructure and flow behavior in porous sandstones, Petroleum Science and Technology 27, 511-529. PDF
117. Touati, S., M. Naylor & I. G. Main (2009). The origin and non-universality of the earthquake inter-event time distribution, Phys. Rev. Lett. 102, 168501. Doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.102.168501. LINK
118. Heap, M. J., P. Baud, P.G. Meredith, A. F. Bell, and I. G. Main (2009. Time-dependent brittle creep in Darley Dale sandstone, J. Geophys. Res., 114, B07203, doi:10.1029/2008JB006212. LINK
119. Naylor, M., J. Greenhough, J. McCloskey, A. F. Bell & I.G. Main (2009). Statistical evaluation of characteristic earthquakes in the frequency-magnitude distributions of Sumatra and other subduction zone regions, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L20303, doi:10.1029/2009GL040460. LINK
120. Main, I.G & M. Naylor (2010). Entropy production and self-organized (sub) criticality in earthquake dynamics, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. Lond. A 2010 368, 131-144, doi: 10.1098/rsta.2009.0206. LINK
121. Graham, C.C., S. Stanchits, I. G. Main & G. Dresen (2010). Source analysis of acoustic emission data: a comparison of polarity and moment tensor inversion methods, Int. J. Rock Mech. Min. Sci. 47, 161–169.LINK
122. Touati, S., M. Naylor, I.G. Main & M. Christie (2011). Masking of earthquake triggering behaviour by a high background rate and implications for epidemic-type aftershock sequence inversions, J. Geophys. Res., 116, B03304, doi:10.1029/2010JB007544. LINK
123. Bell, A., J. Greenhough, M. J. Heap & I. G. Main (2011). Challenges for forecasting based on accelerating rates of earthquakes at volcanoes and laboratory analogues, Geophys. J. Int 185, 718-723. PDF.
124. Heap, M.J., P. Baud, P.G. Meredith, S. Vinciguerra, A.F. Bell & I. G. Main (2011). Brittle creep in basalt and its application to time-dependent volcano deformation, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 307, 71-82. PDF
125. Bell, A. F., M. Naylor, M. J. Heap & I. G. Main (2011), Forecasting volcanic eruptions and other material failure phenomena: An evaluation of the failure forecast method, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L15304, doi:10.1029/2011GL048155. PDF
126. Zhang, X., N. Koutsabeloulis, T. Kristiansen, K. Heffer, I. Main, J. Greenhough, A. Mohamad (2011). Modelling of Depletion-Induced Microseismic Events by Coupled Reservoir Simulation: Application to Valhall Field, Society of Petroleum Engineers, SPE 143378. PDF
127. Meredith, P.G., I.G. Main, O.C. Clint & L.Li (2012). On the threshold of flow in a tight natural rock, Geophys. Res. Lett. 39, L04307,doi:10.1029/2011GL050649. LINK
128. Main, I. & M. Naylor (2012). Extreme events and predictability of catastrophic failure in composite materials and in the Earth, Eur. Phys. J. Special Topics 205, 183–197. DOI: 10.1140/epjst/e2012-01570-x PDF

In press

Reviews

1. Main, I. (1996). Statistical physics, seismogenesis, and seismic hazard, Rev. Geophys. 34, 433-462. PDF
2. Main, I.G. (1997). Earthquakes - long odds on prediction, Nature 385, 19-20; reprinted in Society for Earthquake and Civil Engineering Dynamics Newsletter 11:2, 1-2.PDF
3. Main, I.G (1999). Earthquake prediction debate - Concluding Remarks, Nature website debate
4. Main, I.G., K. Mair, O. Kwon, S.C. Elphick & B.T. Ngwenya (2001). Experimental constraints on the mechanical and hydraulic properties of deformation bands, in porous sandstones: a review, in Holdsworth, R.E., Strachan, R.A., Magloughlin, J.F. & Knipe, R.J. (eds), The nature and significance of fault zone weakening, Geol. Soc. Lond. Spec. Publ. 186, 43-63.
5. Bonnet, E., O. Bour, N.E. Odling, P. Davy, I. Main, P. Cowie & B. Berkowitz (2001). Scaling of fracture systems in geological media, Rev. Geophys. 39, 347-383. PDF
6. Main, I. (2006). Earthquakes - A hand on the aftershock trigger, Nature 441, 704-705. PDF
7. Main, I.G., M. Naylor, J. Greenhough, S. Touati, A.F. Bell & J. McCloskey (2011). Model selection and uncertainty in earthquake hazard analysis, in Köhler & Nishijima (eds), Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, Faber, Taylor & Francis Group, London, ISBN 978-0-415-66986-3, pp. 735-743. PDF
8. Jordan, T., Y. Chen, P. Gasparini, R. Madariaga, I. Main, W. Marzocchi, G. Papadopoulos, G. Sobolev, K. Yamaoka & J. Zschau (2011). Operational earthquake forecasting: State of Knowledge and Guidelines for Utilization. Annals Of Geophysics, 54(4), 361-391. doi:10.4401/ag-5350 PDF

Editing of special volumes

1. Cowie, P., R. Knipe & I.G. Main (1996). Scaling laws for fault and fracture populations - analyses and applications, J. Struct. Geol., 18, v-xi.
2. Matsu'ura, M., C.J. Marone, S.R. McNutt, M. Takeo, I.G. Main, and J.B. Rundle (1997). Earthquake generation Processes: Environmental Aspects and Physical Modelling, Tectonophys, Vol. 277:1-3.
3. Hainzl, S., G. Zoeller & I. Main (2006). Dynamics of seismicity patterns and earthquake triggering, Tectonophysics, Vol. 424:3-4.

Book Chapters

1. Main, I.G. (1992). The Earth's crust and mantle, revision of chapter 26 of Holmes, A., Principles of physical geology, fourth edition, (edited by D. Duff), Chapman and Hall, London, 599-615.
2. Mulargia F., I. Main, M. Ciccotti, S. Castellaro & J. Kertesz (2003). The physics of complex systems: applications to earthquakes, in Mulargia, F. & R.J. Geller (eds.), Earthquake Science and seismic risk reduction, Nato Science Series, Sub-series IV: Earth & Environmental Sciences Vol 32, 102-147, Kluwer, Dordrecht. Further Info
3. Zimmermann, R. & I. Main (2004). Hydromechanical behaviour of fractured rocks, in Gueguen, Y. and Bouteca, M. (eds.), Mechanics of fluid-saturated rocks, Elsevier Academic Press, London, 363-422. PDF

Notes and comments

1. Main, I.G. (1992). New perspectives in rock mechanics and crustal dynamics, European Geophys. Soc. Newsletter 43, p15.
2. Shimmield, G.B., S.C. Elphick, B.T. Ngwenya, I.G. Main, B.G.D. Smart, & B.R. Crawford (1992). The combined influence of stress-state and P/T conditions on reservoir fluid chemistry, Geoscientist 1, p5.
3. Cowie, P.A., I.G. Main & R. Knipe (1995). Looking for patterns in fault populations, EOS Trans. Am. Geophys. Union 76, p125.
4. Cowie, P.A., R. Knipe & I.G. Main (1995). Faults in focus, Terra Nova 7, 4-6.
5. Hamilton, T., S. Dee & I. Main (1998). Fault damage zone scaling and spatial organisation of granulation seams in porous sandstone: Implications for flow properties, in Walker, C. (ed.), PETEX ‘98, Geol. Soc. Lond. Petroleum Group, Paper K9
6. Main, I.G. (1999). Is the reliable prediction of individual earthquakes a realistic scientific goal? Nature website debate
7. Scherwath, M., T. Stern, F. Davey,..., I.G. Main,… & D.A. Oglesby (2003). Toggling of seismicity by the 1997 Kagoshima earthquake couplet: A demonstration of time‐dependent stress transfer, J. Geophys. Res. 108 (B12), 2567.
8. Main, I., B. Malamud, C. Bean & J. McCloskey (2006). Scale in structure and dynamics, A&G 47 6.24–6.25. PDF
9. Sargeant, S., L. Ottemöller, B. Baptie, A. Bell, A. Curtis & I. Main (2009). Frontiers of Seismology, A&G 50, 4.31-4.34. PDF
10. Greenhough, J., A.F. Bell & I.G. Main (2009). Comment on “Relationship between accelerating seismicity and quiescence, two precursors to large earthquakes” by Arnaud Mignan and Rita Di Giovambattista, Geophys. Res. Lett. 36, L17303, doi:10.1029/2009GL039846 LINK